Dinan Lehon 1-4 Guingamp — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Cup, 30 Nov 2024

📅30/11/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
5.09
Draw
27%
4.08
Away
47%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.97
Over 2.5
48%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.88
No
50%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
16%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
26%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
17%
+9.5pp
27%
Draw
22%
+5.7pp
47%
Away Win
62%
-15.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
47%
+5.6pp
48%
Over 2.5
53%
-5.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.9pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dinan Lehon EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Guingamp EU Bookmakers 66%
+32% / +32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
1.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.93/1.82
+1% / +96% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -48%
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
243 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 487 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.0
Crosses 17.0
1.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dinan Lehon
1-4
AWAY Guingamp
31% Ball Possession 69%
5 Total Shots 18
1 Shots on Target 5
0 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Dinan Lehon vs Guingamp
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Guingamp swept aside Dinan Lehon 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Guingamp as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Dinan Lehon had 31% of the ball to Guingamp's 69%, shots finished 5-18.

What was the final score of Dinan Lehon vs Guingamp?

Dinan Lehon 1-4 Guingamp in the France - Cup on 30/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dinan Lehon vs Guingamp?

Before kick-off our model rated an Guingamp win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Dinan Lehon 26%, draw 27%, Guingamp 47%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Guingamp) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Guingamp) ✗ Under 2.5
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