30/11/2024
·
22:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-1
2nd Score
2-2
Dives vs Dragon Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
58%
27%
Draw
22%
25%
Away Win
20%
44%
Under 2.5
41%
56%
Over 2.5
59%
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
46%
BTTS No
44%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Dives v Dragon — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Dives
EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY
Dragon
EU Bookmakers 23%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
55%
Ball Possession
45%
14
Total Shots
9
5
Shots on Target
4
6
Corners
5
350 · 79%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
288 · 76%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Dives vs Dragon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Dives cruised past Dragon 6-1. Half-time: 4-0. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Dives as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 6-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.
What was the final score of Dives vs Dragon?
Dives 6-1 Dragon in the France - Cup on 30/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Dives vs Dragon?
Before kick-off our model rated a Dives win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Dives 48%, draw 27%, Dragon 25%. The final score 6-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dives), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Dives)
✓ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS Yes
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FRK
More France - Cup
30 Nov 2024