SA Merignac 1-1 Beaumont St.Cyr — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Cup, 30 Nov 2024

📅30/11/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.34
Draw
19%
4.49
Away
26%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.33
Over 2.5
56%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.82
No
52%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
15%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
70%
-15.2pp
20%
Draw
19%
+0.6pp
26%
Away Win
11%
+14.6pp
44%
Under 2.5
39%
+5.2pp
56%
Over 2.5
61%
-5.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.5pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SA Merignac EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Beaumont St.Cyr EU Bookmakers 14%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
436 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SA Merignac
1-1
AWAY Beaumont St.Cyr
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 3
4 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH SA Merignac vs Beaumont St.Cyr
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SA Merignac and Beaumont St.Cyr couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had SA Merignac at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, SA Merignac had 57% of the ball to Beaumont St.Cyr's 43%, shots finished 11-3.

What was the final score of SA Merignac vs Beaumont St.Cyr?

SA Merignac 1-1 Beaumont St.Cyr in the France - Cup on 30/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SA Merignac vs Beaumont St.Cyr?

Before kick-off our model rated a SA Merignac win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split SA Merignac 55%, draw 20%, Beaumont St.Cyr 26%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (SA Merignac) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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