Valenciennes 4-3 Neuilly — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Cup, 30 Nov 2024

📅30/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.27
Draw
22%
5.15
Away
18%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.51
Over 2.5
55%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.96
No
56%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
5%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
5%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
75%
-14.6pp
22%
Draw
17%
+5.3pp
18%
Away Win
9%
+9.3pp
45%
Under 2.5
36%
+9.4pp
55%
Over 2.5
64%
-9.4pp
44%
BTTS Yes
47%
-2.5pp
56%
BTTS No
53%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Valenciennes EU Bookmakers 79%
Head to Head
AWAY Neuilly EU Bookmakers 11%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
523 · 88% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Valenciennes vs Neuilly
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Valenciennes edged past Neuilly 4-3. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Valenciennes as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (55%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

What was the final score of Valenciennes vs Neuilly?

Valenciennes 4-3 Neuilly in the France - Cup on 30/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Valenciennes vs Neuilly?

Before kick-off our model rated a Valenciennes win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Valenciennes 60%, draw 22%, Neuilly 18%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Valenciennes), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Valenciennes) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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