Györi ETO 1-2 Kecskemeti TE — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 30 Nov 2024

📅30/11/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.75
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
28%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.86
Over 2.5
46%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.81
No
51%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.26
2-3 Goals
43%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
3.48
6+ Goals
10%
13.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.26 — our 27% vs market 24.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
11%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
53%
-6.9pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.1pp
28%
Away Win
21%
+6.8pp
54%
Under 2.5
50%
+4.3pp
46%
Over 2.5
50%
-4.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.6pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Györi ETO EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Kecskemeti TE EU Bookmakers 24%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -20%
2.07/1.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.95
+18% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -15%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
370 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 349 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.0
Crosses 18.2
Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Györi ETO
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Kecskemeti TE
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.28 xG 1.25
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 3
371 Passes 148
81% Pass Accuracy 64%
38 Box Touches 23
35 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 3
16.08.2024 Kecskemeti TE Kecskemeti TE 2-1 HT 2-0 Györi ETO Györi ETO MAC
18.10.2022 Györi ETO Györi ETO 1-0 HT 1-0 Kecskemeti TE Kecskemeti TE MACK
03.04.2022 Kecskemeti TE Kecskemeti TE 3-2 HT 1-1 Györi ETO Györi ETO MAC2
03.10.2021 Györi ETO Györi ETO 0-1 HT 0-0 Kecskemeti TE Kecskemeti TE MAC2
04.04.2015 Györi ETO Györi ETO 1-1 HT 1-0 Kecskemeti TE Kecskemeti TE MAC
22.10.2014 Kecskemeti TE Kecskemeti TE 1-1 HT 0-1 Györi ETO Györi ETO MAC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Györi ETO
1-2
AWAY Kecskemeti TE
71% Ball Possession 29%
13 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 0
POST-MATCH Györi ETO vs Kecskemeti TE
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kecskemeti TE squeezed past Györi ETO 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Györi ETO at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Györi ETO had 71% of the ball to Kecskemeti TE's 29%, shots finished 13-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kecskemeti TE led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Györi ETO and 1.33 for Kecskemeti TE.

What was the final score of Györi ETO vs Kecskemeti TE?

Györi ETO 1-2 Kecskemeti TE in the Hungary - NB I on 30/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Györi ETO vs Kecskemeti TE?

Before kick-off our model rated a Györi ETO win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Györi ETO 46%, draw 26%, Kecskemeti TE 28%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Györi ETO) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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