MTK Budapest 0-1 Puskas FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 30 Nov 2024

📅30/11/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
3.08
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
38%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.0
Over 2.5
53%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.63
No
44%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.65
2-3 Goals
38%
1.8
4-5 Goals
25%
3.19
6+ Goals
11%
11.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
9%
1/X
10%
X/1
16%
X/2
17%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
29%
+5.6pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.6pp
38%
Away Win
45%
-7.1pp
47%
Under 2.5
46%
+0.4pp
53%
Over 2.5
54%
-0.4pp
56%
BTTS Yes
57%
-1.3pp
44%
BTTS No
43%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME MTK Budapest EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Puskas FC EU Bookmakers 49%
+9% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -3%
1.26/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.80/1.37
-36% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +33%
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
293 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 374 · 82%
17.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.3
15.1 Crosses 24.1
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME MTK Budapest
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Puskas FC
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
1.13 xG 1.80
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
369 Passes 329
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
20 Box Touches 25
15 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.08.2024 Puskas FC Puskas FC 1-0 HT 0-0 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest MAC
11.05.2024 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest 1-3 HT 1-3 Puskas FC Puskas FC MAC
18.02.2024 Puskas FC Puskas FC 6-1 HT 3-0 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest MAC
22.10.2023 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest 0-5 HT 0-2 Puskas FC Puskas FC MAC
04.05.2022 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest 0-0 HT 0-0 Puskas FC Puskas FC MAC
12.02.2022 Puskas FC Puskas FC 1-2 HT 0-1 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest MAC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME MTK Budapest
0-1
AWAY Puskas FC
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 0
POST-MATCH MTK Budapest vs Puskas FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Puskas FC nicked a narrow win over MTK Budapest 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (35% / 27% / 38%) promised a tight game; Puskas FC found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, MTK Budapest had 53% of the ball to Puskas FC's 47%, shots finished 10-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Puskas FC led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for MTK Budapest and 2.67 for Puskas FC.

What was the final score of MTK Budapest vs Puskas FC?

MTK Budapest 0-1 Puskas FC in the Hungary - NB I on 30/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for MTK Budapest vs Puskas FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Puskas FC win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split MTK Budapest 35%, draw 27%, Puskas FC 38%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Puskas FC) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Puskas FC) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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