Livingston 0-1 Aberdeen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 30 Nov 2025

Livingston
0-1 HT 0-0
Aberdeen
📅30/11/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✓
Scotland - Premiership – 2025/2026

Livingston vs Aberdeen Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.47
Draw
24%
3.11
Away
38%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.78
Over 2.5
46%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.75
No
52%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
31%
3.03
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
3.73
6+ Goals
9%
15.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.03 — our 31% vs market 26.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
3.82
1/2
9%
30.5
1/X
5%
12.8
X/1
16%
5.75
X/2
9%
5.92
X/X
14%
4.35
2/1
9%
29.5
2/2
20%
4.0
2/X
5%
12.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
37%
+0.8pp
24%
Draw
29%
-4.4pp
38%
Away Win
34%
+3.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.0pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Livingston v Aberdeen — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Livingston EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Aberdeen EU Bookmakers 38%
+0% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -8%
1.30/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.45
-5% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +0%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
240 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 70%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.1
18.1 Crosses 20.1
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3

Livingston vs Aberdeen Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Livingston
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Aberdeen
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.95 xG 1.62
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
200 Passes 309
63% Pass Accuracy 73%
14 Box Touches 30
16 Crosses 27
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
13.09.2025 Aberdeen Aberdeen 0-0 HT 0-0 Livingston Livingston İKP
15.05.2024 Aberdeen Aberdeen 5-1 HT 0-0 Livingston Livingston İKP
20.12.2023 Aberdeen Aberdeen 2-1 HT 1-1 Livingston Livingston İKP
05.08.2023 Livingston Livingston 0-0 HT 0-0 Aberdeen Aberdeen İKP
25.02.2023 Aberdeen Aberdeen 1-0 HT 1-0 Livingston Livingston İKP
08.11.2022 Livingston Livingston 2-1 HT 2-0 Aberdeen Aberdeen İKP

Livingston 0-1 Aberdeen — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Livingston
0-1
AWAY Aberdeen
0.99 xG 0.76
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
337 Passes 242
80% Pass Accuracy 72%
29 Box Touches 13
29 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Livingston vs Aberdeen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aberdeen squeezed past Livingston 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 24% / 38%) promised a tight game; Aberdeen found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Livingston had 56% of the ball to Aberdeen's 44%, shots finished 15-14, expected goals 0.99 to 0.76.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aberdeen led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Livingston and 1.50 for Aberdeen.

What was the final score of Livingston vs Aberdeen?

Livingston 0-1 Aberdeen in the Scotland - Premiership on 30/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Livingston vs Aberdeen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Livingston win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Livingston 38%, draw 24%, Aberdeen 38%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (38/24/38) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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İKP More Scotland - Premiership
30 Nov 2025
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