Hibernian 1-2 Celtic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 30 Nov 2025

📅30/11/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.5
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
49%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.1
Over 2.5
54%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.63
No
45%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.94
2-3 Goals
44%
1.84
4-5 Goals
24%
3.05
6+ Goals
8%
9.73
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
6.15
1/2 EV+ ✗
10%
21.8
1/X
5%
14.55
X/1
8%
8.45
X/2
13%
4.62
X/X
10%
5.5
2/1
6%
35.0
2/2
26%
2.43
2/X
8%
13.5
Value flag · 1/2 at 21.8 — our 10% vs market 2.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
25%
+2.5pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.2pp
49%
Away Win
51%
-1.3pp
46%
Under 2.5
44%
+2.3pp
54%
Over 2.5
56%
-2.3pp
55%
BTTS Yes
57%
-1.8pp
45%
BTTS No
43%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hibernian EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Celtic EU Bookmakers 55%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -12%
1.34/1.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.25
-1% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -34%
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
245 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 430 · 83%
21.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.3
22.7 Crosses 17.9
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hibernian
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Celtic
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.26 xG 2.59
25% Ball Possession 75%
8 Total Shots 20
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 10
152 Passes 653
69% Pass Accuracy 91%
18 Box Touches 41
14 Crosses 35
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.09.2025 Celtic Celtic 0-0 HT 0-0 Hibernian Hibernian İKP
10.05.2025 Celtic Celtic 3-1 HT 2-1 Hibernian Hibernian İKP
09.03.2025 Celtic Celtic 2-0 HT 1-0 Hibernian Hibernian İKK
22.02.2025 Hibernian Hibernian 2-1 HT 2-0 Celtic Celtic İKP
07.12.2024 Celtic Celtic 3-0 HT 1-0 Hibernian Hibernian İKP
18.08.2024 Celtic Celtic 3-1 HT 2-1 Hibernian Hibernian İKLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hibernian
1-2
AWAY Celtic
1.65 xG 1.33
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
283 Passes 489
79% Pass Accuracy 87%
25 Box Touches 19
20 Crosses 9
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Hibernian vs Celtic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Celtic squeezed past Hibernian 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Celtic as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Hibernian had 40% of the ball to Celtic's 60%, shots finished 9-6, expected goals 1.65 to 1.33.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Celtic led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Hibernian and 2.00 for Celtic.

What was the final score of Hibernian vs Celtic?

Hibernian 1-2 Celtic in the Scotland - Premiership on 30/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hibernian vs Celtic?

Before kick-off our model rated an Celtic win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Hibernian 28%, draw 23%, Celtic 49%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Celtic), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Celtic) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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