Hibernian 2-1 Celtic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 22 Feb 2025

📅22/02/2025 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
5.34
Draw
24%
4.08
Away
51%
1.49
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.15
Over 2.5
51%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.81
No
49%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
4.16
2-3 Goals
40%
1.88
4-5 Goals
24%
3.08
6+ Goals
11%
9.67
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.16 — our 25% vs market 19.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
9.93
1/2
7%
21.1
1/X
5%
18.25
X/1
10%
12.3
X/2
18%
3.99
X/X
11%
6.24
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
26%
1.81
2/X
8%
16.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
16%
+8.9pp
24%
Draw
21%
+3.0pp
51%
Away Win
63%
-11.8pp
49%
Under 2.5
43%
+6.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
57%
-6.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.8pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hibernian EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY Celtic EU Bookmakers 67%
+11% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -19%
1.04/2.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.20/0.87
+32% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -4%
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
299 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 395 · 80%
19.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 34.9
18.9 Crosses 24.0
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hibernian
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Celtic
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.08 xG 2.79
30% Ball Possession 70%
8 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 8
217 Passes 616
72% Pass Accuracy 89%
18 Box Touches 42
12 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 2
07.12.2024 Celtic Celtic 3-0 HT 1-0 Hibernian Hibernian İKP
18.08.2024 Celtic Celtic 3-1 HT 2-1 Hibernian Hibernian İKLK
11.08.2024 Hibernian Hibernian 0-2 HT 0-2 Celtic Celtic İKP
07.02.2024 Hibernian Hibernian 1-2 HT 0-1 Celtic Celtic İKP
06.12.2023 Celtic Celtic 4-1 HT 2-0 Hibernian Hibernian İKP
28.10.2023 Hibernian Hibernian 0-0 HT 0-0 Celtic Celtic İKP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hibernian
2-1
AWAY Celtic
0.67 xG 1.78
24% Ball Possession 76%
8 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 10
110 Passes 501
62% Pass Accuracy 87%
17 Box Touches 36
16 Crosses 31
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Hibernian vs Celtic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hibernian edged past Celtic 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match lean was Celtic at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Hibernian had 24% of the ball to Celtic's 76%, shots finished 8-14, expected goals 0.67 to 1.78 — the balance of chances actually favoured Celtic.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Celtic led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Hibernian and 2.33 for Celtic.

What was the final score of Hibernian vs Celtic?

Hibernian 2-1 Celtic in the Scotland - Premiership on 22/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hibernian vs Celtic?

Before kick-off our model rated an Celtic win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Hibernian 25%, draw 24%, Celtic 51%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Celtic) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Celtic) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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