Aberdeen vs Kilmarnock Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Aberdeen v Kilmarnock — Team-Based Signals
Aberdeen vs Kilmarnock Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-0
Kilmarnock
İKP
2-0
HT 1-0
Aberdeen
İKP
Aberdeen 1-0 Kilmarnock — Actual Match Statistics
Aberdeen squeezed past Kilmarnock 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Aberdeen as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.
On the day, Aberdeen had 61% of the ball to Kilmarnock's 39%, shots finished 8-10, expected goals 1.08 to 0.43.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kilmarnock led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Aberdeen and 1.67 for Kilmarnock.
What was the final score of Aberdeen vs Kilmarnock?
Aberdeen 1-0 Kilmarnock in the Scotland - Premiership on 22/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Aberdeen vs Kilmarnock?
Before kick-off our model rated a Aberdeen win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Aberdeen 42%, draw 28%, Kilmarnock 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aberdeen), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.