Dundee United 1-0 Motherwell — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 22 Feb 2025

📅22/02/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.75
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
25%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.82
Over 2.5
47%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.85
No
53%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
3.24
2-3 Goals
41%
1.8
4-5 Goals
20%
3.69
6+ Goals
10%
15.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.24 — our 29% vs market 25.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.23
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.1
X/1
23%
4.21
X/2
8%
9.37
X/X
14%
4.87
2/1
7%
23.85
2/2
12%
7.63
2/X
6%
15.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
54%
-5.7pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.4pp
25%
Away Win
21%
+4.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
51%
+2.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
49%
-2.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
50%
-3.4pp
53%
BTTS No
50%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dundee United EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Motherwell EU Bookmakers 24%
+2% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +10%
1.44/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.31
+12% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +5%
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
351 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 211 · 67%
27.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.5
28.4 Crosses 20.3
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dundee United
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Motherwell
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.70 xG 1.71
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
337 Passes 240
76% Pass Accuracy 74%
26 Box Touches 25
23 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.12.2024 Motherwell Motherwell 4-3 HT 3-1 Dundee United Dundee United İKP
30.10.2024 Dundee United Dundee United 1-2 HT 1-1 Motherwell Motherwell İKP
20.09.2024 Motherwell Motherwell 2-1 HT 1-0 Dundee United Dundee United İKLK
28.05.2023 Motherwell Motherwell 3-2 HT 1-1 Dundee United Dundee United İKP
15.04.2023 Motherwell Motherwell 1-2 HT 1-0 Dundee United Dundee United İKP
29.10.2022 Dundee United Dundee United 0-1 HT 0-1 Motherwell Motherwell İKP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dundee United
1-0
AWAY Motherwell
1.25 xG 1.09
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 7
244 Passes 270
73% Pass Accuracy 74%
19 Box Touches 17
21 Crosses 21
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Dundee United vs Motherwell
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dundee United edged past Motherwell 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Dundee United as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Dundee United had 48% of the ball to Motherwell's 52%, shots finished 10-10, expected goals 1.25 to 1.09.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Motherwell led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Dundee United and 2.17 for Motherwell.

What was the final score of Dundee United vs Motherwell?

Dundee United 1-0 Motherwell in the Scotland - Premiership on 22/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dundee United vs Motherwell?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dundee United win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Dundee United 48%, draw 27%, Motherwell 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dundee United), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Dundee United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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