Celtic 3-1 Hibernian — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 10 May 2025

📅10/05/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.33
Draw
21%
4.81
Away
17%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.59
Over 2.5
58%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.75
No
50%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
5.75
2-3 Goals
37%
2.09
4-5 Goals
27%
2.69
6+ Goals
15%
6.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1.55
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
8%
19.25
X/1
15%
4.01
X/2
5%
17.45
X/X
6%
8.33
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
20.0
2/2
8%
13.85
2/X
6%
22.0
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.0 — our 10% vs market 2.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
71%
-8.2pp
20%
Draw
18%
+2.9pp
17%
Away Win
12%
+5.3pp
42%
Under 2.5
35%
+7.4pp
58%
Over 2.5
65%
-7.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.6pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Celtic EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Hibernian EU Bookmakers 15%
-2% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
2.72/0.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/2.54
+37% / +44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -8%
61% Ball Possession 39%
18 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
488 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 219 · 69%
42.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.3
27.2 Crosses 13.6
0.8 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Celtic
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Hibernian
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
2.54 xG 1.00
72% Ball Possession 28%
17 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 4
591 Passes 164
88% Pass Accuracy 68%
39 Box Touches 21
26 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 3
09.03.2025 Celtic Celtic 2-0 HT 1-0 Hibernian Hibernian İKK
22.02.2025 Hibernian Hibernian 2-1 HT 2-0 Celtic Celtic İKP
07.12.2024 Celtic Celtic 3-0 HT 1-0 Hibernian Hibernian İKP
18.08.2024 Celtic Celtic 3-1 HT 2-1 Hibernian Hibernian İKLK
11.08.2024 Hibernian Hibernian 0-2 HT 0-2 Celtic Celtic İKP
07.02.2024 Hibernian Hibernian 1-2 HT 0-1 Celtic Celtic İKP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Celtic
3-1
AWAY Hibernian
2.26 xG 0.82
76% Ball Possession 24%
17 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
731 Passes 172
92% Pass Accuracy 74%
32 Box Touches 11
24 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Celtic vs Hibernian
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Celtic beat Hibernian 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Celtic as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Celtic had 76% of the ball to Hibernian's 24%, shots finished 17-10, expected goals 2.26 to 0.82.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Celtic had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Celtic and 0.67 for Hibernian.

What was the final score of Celtic vs Hibernian?

Celtic 3-1 Hibernian in the Scotland - Premiership on 10/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Celtic vs Hibernian?

Before kick-off our model rated a Celtic win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Celtic 62%, draw 20%, Hibernian 17%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Celtic), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Celtic) ✓ Over 2.5
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