Kilmarnock vs Dundee FC Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Kilmarnock v Dundee FC — Team-Based Signals
Kilmarnock vs Dundee FC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Kilmarnock 3-2 Dundee FC — Actual Match Statistics
Kilmarnock squeezed past Dundee FC 3-2. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Kilmarnock as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, Kilmarnock had 41% of the ball to Dundee FC's 59%, shots finished 16-12, expected goals 3.49 to 0.99 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Kilmarnock's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kilmarnock had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Kilmarnock and 1.50 for Dundee FC.
What was the final score of Kilmarnock vs Dundee FC?
Kilmarnock 3-2 Dundee FC in the Scotland - Premiership on 10/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Kilmarnock vs Dundee FC?
Before kick-off our model rated a Kilmarnock win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Kilmarnock 42%, draw 30%, Dundee FC 28%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kilmarnock), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.