Dundee FC vs Kilmarnock Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Dundee FC v Kilmarnock — Team-Based Signals
Dundee FC vs Kilmarnock Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-2
HT 0-1
Dundee FC
İKP
2-2
HT 1-1
Kilmarnock
İKP
1-2
HT 0-2
Dundee FC
İKCL
Dundee FC 2-3 Kilmarnock — Actual Match Statistics
Kilmarnock nicked a narrow win over Dundee FC 3-2 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Dundee FC at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, Dundee FC had 36% of the ball to Kilmarnock's 64%, shots finished 10-25, expected goals 0.62 to 2.72 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Kilmarnock's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Dundee FC and 1.67 for Kilmarnock.
What was the final score of Dundee FC vs Kilmarnock?
Dundee FC 2-3 Kilmarnock in the Scotland - Premiership on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Dundee FC vs Kilmarnock?
Before kick-off our model rated a Dundee FC win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Dundee FC 43%, draw 27%, Kilmarnock 30%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Dundee FC) went the other way.