Hibernian vs Motherwell Prediction — Model Probabilities
Hibernian v Motherwell — Team-Based Signals
Hibernian vs Motherwell Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Hibernian 1-2 Motherwell — Actual Match Statistics
Motherwell shaded a tight game against Hibernian 2-1 on their travels. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Hibernian at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 50% and both teams to score at 52%, coin-flips both.
Under the surface, Hibernian had 57% of the ball to Motherwell's 43%, shots finished 18-11, expected goals 1.32 to 1.23.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Hibernian and 1.67 for Motherwell.
Hibernian vs Motherwell Result & Final Score
Hibernian 1 - 2 Motherwell in the Scotland - Premiership on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Hibernian vs Motherwell Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Hibernian win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Hibernian 53%, draw 25%, Motherwell 22%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Hibernian) went the other way.