St. Mirren 0-1 Dundee United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.27
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
37%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.74
Over 2.5
46%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.82
No
53%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
31%
2.86
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.08
6+ Goals
11%
19.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.86 — our 31% vs market 29.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.42
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
7%
13.45
X/1
13%
4.97
X/2
17%
5.87
X/X
14%
4.24
2/1
8%
29.0
2/2
15%
4.32
2/X
6%
13.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
40%
-5.2pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.3pp
38%
Away Win
32%
+5.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
54%
+0.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
46%
-0.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.6pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St. Mirren EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Dundee United EU Bookmakers 36%
-1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -12%
1.30/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.26
-7% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% / +10%
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
310 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 235 · 65%
22.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.8
27.6 Crosses 21.0
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St. Mirren
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Dundee United
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.21 xG 1.20
42% Ball Possession 58%
13 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 6
190 Passes 325
65% Pass Accuracy 73%
18 Box Touches 21
24 Crosses 25
1 Yellow Cards 2
18.08.2024 Dundee United Dundee United 1-0 HT 1-0 St. Mirren St. Mirren İKLK
18.03.2023 Dundee United Dundee United 1-1 HT 1-0 St. Mirren St. Mirren İKP
22.10.2022 St. Mirren St. Mirren 2-1 HT 1-0 Dundee United Dundee United İKP
20.08.2022 Dundee United Dundee United 0-3 HT 0-1 St. Mirren St. Mirren İKP
19.03.2022 St. Mirren St. Mirren 1-2 HT 1-0 Dundee United Dundee United İKP
18.01.2022 Dundee United Dundee United 1-2 HT 0-1 St. Mirren St. Mirren İKP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME St. Mirren
0-1
AWAY Dundee United
1.07 xG 0.97
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
332 Passes 244
81% Pass Accuracy 71%
25 Box Touches 20
30 Crosses 23
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH St. Mirren vs Dundee United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dundee United nicked a narrow win over St. Mirren 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 28% / 38% — and on the day Dundee United made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, St. Mirren had 55% of the ball to Dundee United's 45%, shots finished 16-12, expected goals 1.07 to 0.97.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, St. Mirren had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for St. Mirren and 1.00 for Dundee United.

What was the final score of St. Mirren vs Dundee United?

St. Mirren 0-1 Dundee United in the Scotland - Premiership on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St. Mirren vs Dundee United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dundee United win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split St. Mirren 35%, draw 28%, Dundee United 38%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dundee United), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Dundee United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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