Hearts 3-0 Motherwell — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 10 May 2025

📅10/05/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.57
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
27%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.07
Over 2.5
52%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.75
No
48%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.98
2-3 Goals
41%
1.89
4-5 Goals
24%
3.25
6+ Goals
10%
10.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
2.03
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
10%
15.2
X/1
12%
4.17
X/2
11%
10.65
X/X
7%
5.84
2/1
7%
21.75
2/2
11%
8.41
2/X
6%
16.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
59%
-8.8pp
23%
Draw
22%
+0.1pp
27%
Away Win
19%
+8.7pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.3pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.4pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hearts EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Motherwell EU Bookmakers 22%
+2% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +5%
1.81/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.30
+2% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +3%
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
378 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 225 · 70%
30.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.5
26.6 Crosses 19.5
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hearts
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Motherwell
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.50 xG 1.13
64% Ball Possession 36%
16 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 5
452 Passes 202
81% Pass Accuracy 68%
32 Box Touches 21
30 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
12.04.2025 Motherwell Motherwell 0-0 HT 0-0 Hearts Hearts İKP
02.01.2025 Hearts Hearts 1-0 HT 1-0 Motherwell Motherwell İKP
25.08.2024 Motherwell Motherwell 3-1 HT 1-0 Hearts Hearts İKP
17.02.2024 Hearts Hearts 2-0 HT 0-0 Motherwell Motherwell İKP
11.11.2023 Motherwell Motherwell 1-2 HT 0-1 Hearts Hearts İKP
03.09.2023 Hearts Hearts 0-1 HT 0-1 Motherwell Motherwell İKP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hearts
3-0
AWAY Motherwell
0.51 xG 0.42
47% Ball Possession 53%
2 Total Shots 1
2 Shots on Target 0
3 Corners 1
164 Passes 182
85% Pass Accuracy 83%
11 Box Touches 3
11 Crosses 7
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Hearts vs Motherwell
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hearts swept aside Motherwell 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Hearts as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Hearts had 47% of the ball to Motherwell's 53%, shots finished 2-1, expected goals 0.51 to 0.42.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hearts had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Hearts and 0.83 for Motherwell.

What was the final score of Hearts vs Motherwell?

Hearts 3-0 Motherwell in the Scotland - Premiership on 10/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hearts vs Motherwell?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hearts win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Hearts 50%, draw 23%, Motherwell 27%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hearts), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hearts) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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