St. Johnstone vs Ross County Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
St. Johnstone v Ross County — Team-Based Signals
St. Johnstone vs Ross County Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Ross County
İKP
St. Johnstone 2-1 Ross County — Actual Match Statistics
St. Johnstone squeezed past Ross County 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had St. Johnstone as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, St. Johnstone had 61% of the ball to Ross County's 39%, shots finished 21-9, expected goals 1.90 to 0.65 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold St. Johnstone's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, St. Johnstone had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for St. Johnstone and 0.67 for Ross County.
What was the final score of St. Johnstone vs Ross County?
St. Johnstone 2-1 Ross County in the Scotland - Premiership on 10/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for St. Johnstone vs Ross County?
Before kick-off our model rated a St. Johnstone win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split St. Johnstone 44%, draw 27%, Ross County 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (St. Johnstone) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.