Dundee United 0-2 St. Mirren — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 10 May 2025

📅10/05/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.27
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
38%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.78
Over 2.5
48%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.76
No
55%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.12
2-3 Goals
39%
1.82
4-5 Goals
22%
3.92
6+ Goals
10%
17.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.12 — our 29% vs market 27.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.55
1/2
9%
31.0
1/X
8%
13.6
X/1
12%
5.32
X/2
9%
5.97
X/X
8%
4.57
2/1
6%
28.0
2/2
21%
4.22
2/X
8%
13.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
40%
-2.5pp
24%
Draw
27%
-2.9pp
38%
Away Win
33%
+5.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.3pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.3pp
45%
BTTS Yes
53%
-7.7pp
55%
BTTS No
47%
+7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dundee United EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY St. Mirren EU Bookmakers 37%
-5% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -5%
1.37/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.09
-15% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -5%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
231 · 66% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 255 · 67%
22.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.1
21.2 Crosses 26.3
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dundee United
4W-1D-1L
AWAY St. Mirren
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.05 xG 1.62
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
261 Passes 257
72% Pass Accuracy 72%
23 Box Touches 28
22 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 1
11.01.2025 St. Mirren St. Mirren 0-1 HT 0-0 Dundee United Dundee United İKP
30.11.2024 Dundee United Dundee United 2-0 HT 0-0 St. Mirren St. Mirren İKP
05.10.2024 St. Mirren St. Mirren 0-1 HT 0-0 Dundee United Dundee United İKP
18.08.2024 Dundee United Dundee United 1-0 HT 1-0 St. Mirren St. Mirren İKLK
18.03.2023 Dundee United Dundee United 1-1 HT 1-0 St. Mirren St. Mirren İKP
22.10.2022 St. Mirren St. Mirren 2-1 HT 1-0 Dundee United Dundee United İKP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dundee United
0-2
AWAY St. Mirren
1.47 xG 2.14
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 21
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
224 Passes 183
70% Pass Accuracy 67%
25 Box Touches 40
22 Crosses 16
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Dundee United vs St. Mirren
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St. Mirren beat Dundee United 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 24% / 38% — and on the day St. Mirren made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Dundee United had 54% of the ball to St. Mirren's 46%, shots finished 12-21, expected goals 1.47 to 2.14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dundee United had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Dundee United and 0.50 for St. Mirren.

What was the final score of Dundee United vs St. Mirren?

Dundee United 0-2 St. Mirren in the Scotland - Premiership on 10/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dundee United vs St. Mirren?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dundee United win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Dundee United 38%, draw 24%, St. Mirren 38%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (38/24/38) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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