Dundee United 2-0 St. Mirren — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 30 Nov 2024

Dundee United
2-0 HT 0-0
St. Mirren
📅30/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Scotland - Premiership – 2024/2025

Dundee United vs St. Mirren Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.19
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
28%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.74
Over 2.5
53%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.82
No
46%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2.91
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
26%
4.11
6+ Goals
11%
19.35
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 4.11 — our 26% vs market 19.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.31
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.85
X/1
16%
4.86
X/2
10%
6.13
X/X
10%
4.35
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
29.0
2/2
12%
4.59
2/X
9%
14.05
Value flag · 2/1 at 29.0 — our 10% vs market 1.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
42%
+3.9pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.3pp
28%
Away Win
31%
-2.7pp
47%
Under 2.5
54%
-6.8pp
53%
Over 2.5
46%
+6.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
51%
+3.0pp
46%
BTTS No
49%
-3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Dundee United v St. Mirren — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dundee United EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY St. Mirren EU Bookmakers 34%
-6% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -6%
1.34/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.25
-7% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +15%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
286 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 70%
22.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.9
21.3 Crosses 24.5
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.1

Dundee United vs St. Mirren Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dundee United
3W-1D-2L
AWAY St. Mirren
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.06 xG 1.11
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
293 Passes 221
71% Pass Accuracy 70%
20 Box Touches 20
24 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 0
The Meetings
05.10.2024 St. Mirren St. Mirren 0-1 HT 0-0 Dundee United Dundee United İKP
18.08.2024 Dundee United Dundee United 1-0 HT 1-0 St. Mirren St. Mirren İKLK
18.03.2023 Dundee United Dundee United 1-1 HT 1-0 St. Mirren St. Mirren İKP
22.10.2022 St. Mirren St. Mirren 2-1 HT 1-0 Dundee United Dundee United İKP
20.08.2022 Dundee United Dundee United 0-3 HT 0-1 St. Mirren St. Mirren İKP
19.03.2022 St. Mirren St. Mirren 1-2 HT 1-0 Dundee United Dundee United İKP
POST-MATCH Dundee United vs St. Mirren
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dundee United saw off St. Mirren 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Dundee United as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dundee United had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Dundee United and 1.17 for St. Mirren.

What was the final score of Dundee United vs St. Mirren?

Dundee United 2-0 St. Mirren in the Scotland - Premiership on 30/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dundee United vs St. Mirren?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dundee United win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Dundee United 46%, draw 26%, St. Mirren 28%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dundee United) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dundee United) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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