Kilmarnock 1-1 Dundee FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 30 Nov 2024

📅30/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.92
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
29%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.95
Over 2.5
49%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.68
No
47%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.59
2-3 Goals
42%
1.82
4-5 Goals
22%
3.42
6+ Goals
12%
12.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.66
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.15
X/1
17%
4.58
X/2
9%
7.73
X/X
12%
4.82
2/1
7%
24.7
2/2
13%
5.59
2/X
10%
13.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
48%
-5.7pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.7pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+3.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.1pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.1pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kilmarnock EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Dundee FC EU Bookmakers 29%
+4% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +13%
1.50/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.32
+20% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +6%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
287 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 71%
23.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.5
24.2 Crosses 19.6
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kilmarnock
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Dundee FC
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.42 xG 1.19
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
246 Passes 251
69% Pass Accuracy 71%
22 Box Touches 25
28 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.11.2024 Dundee FC Dundee FC 3-2 HT 1-2 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock İKP
05.10.2024 Dundee FC Dundee FC 2-3 HT 1-0 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock İKP
18.05.2024 Dundee FC Dundee FC 1-1 HT 1-1 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock İKP
02.03.2024 Dundee FC Dundee FC 2-2 HT 1-1 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock İKP
20.01.2024 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 2-0 HT 2-0 Dundee FC Dundee FC İKK
30.12.2023 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 2-2 HT 0-1 Dundee FC Dundee FC İKP
POST-MATCH Kilmarnock vs Dundee FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kilmarnock and Dundee FC shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Kilmarnock at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kilmarnock had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Kilmarnock and 1.67 for Dundee FC.

What was the final score of Kilmarnock vs Dundee FC?

Kilmarnock 1-1 Dundee FC in the Scotland - Premiership on 30/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kilmarnock vs Dundee FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kilmarnock win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Kilmarnock 42%, draw 29%, Dundee FC 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Kilmarnock) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kilmarnock) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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30 Nov 2024
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