St. Mirren 0-1 Dundee United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 11 Jan 2025

📅11/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.46
Draw
32%
2.94
Away
33%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.59
Over 2.5
38%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.95
No
58%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
39%
2.52
2-3 Goals
34%
1.8
4-5 Goals
20%
4.81
6+ Goals
7%
27.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.52 — our 39% vs market 33.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
3.76
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
9%
13.45
X/1
16%
5.22
X/2
10%
5.83
X/X
15%
3.77
2/1
4%
34.0
2/2
19%
4.4
2/X
9%
13.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
37%
-2.6pp
32%
Draw
31%
+1.4pp
33%
Away Win
32%
+1.1pp
62%
Under 2.5
59%
+2.6pp
38%
Over 2.5
41%
-2.5pp
42%
BTTS Yes
47%
-5.0pp
58%
BTTS No
53%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St. Mirren EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Dundee United EU Bookmakers 36%
+0% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -4%
1.19/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.25
-8% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +4%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
256 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 70%
20.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.4
25.7 Crosses 23.0
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St. Mirren
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Dundee United
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.37 xG 0.92
45% Ball Possession 55%
15 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
233 Passes 306
74% Pass Accuracy 73%
23 Box Touches 21
27 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 2
30.11.2024 Dundee United Dundee United 2-0 HT 0-0 St. Mirren St. Mirren İKP
05.10.2024 St. Mirren St. Mirren 0-1 HT 0-0 Dundee United Dundee United İKP
18.08.2024 Dundee United Dundee United 1-0 HT 1-0 St. Mirren St. Mirren İKLK
18.03.2023 Dundee United Dundee United 1-1 HT 1-0 St. Mirren St. Mirren İKP
22.10.2022 St. Mirren St. Mirren 2-1 HT 1-0 Dundee United Dundee United İKP
20.08.2022 Dundee United Dundee United 0-3 HT 0-1 St. Mirren St. Mirren İKP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME St. Mirren
0-1
AWAY Dundee United
2.39 xG 1.47
51% Ball Possession 49%
17 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 5
198 Passes 204
67% Pass Accuracy 69%
41 Box Touches 28
28 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH St. Mirren vs Dundee United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dundee United edged past St. Mirren 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (35% / 32% / 33%) promised a tight game; Dundee United found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, St. Mirren had 51% of the ball to Dundee United's 49%, shots finished 17-16, expected goals 2.39 to 1.47 — on chances, St. Mirren could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dundee United led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for St. Mirren and 1.00 for Dundee United.

What was the final score of St. Mirren vs Dundee United?

St. Mirren 0-1 Dundee United in the Scotland - Premiership on 11/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St. Mirren vs Dundee United?

Before kick-off our model rated a St. Mirren win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split St. Mirren 35%, draw 32%, Dundee United 33%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (St. Mirren) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (St. Mirren) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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