Hibernian 3-1 Motherwell — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 11 Jan 2025

📅11/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.49
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
28%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.0
Over 2.5
52%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.88
No
49%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
23%
3.79
2-3 Goals
40%
1.84
4-5 Goals
26%
3.29
6+ Goals
11%
11.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.79 — our 23% vs market 21.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1.89
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
17.15
X/1
17%
3.7
X/2
13%
12.3
X/X
12%
5.88
2/1
7%
23.0
2/2
10%
9.8
2/X
6%
17.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
62%
-14.7pp
24%
Draw
22%
+2.1pp
28%
Away Win
16%
+12.5pp
48%
Under 2.5
46%
+2.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
54%
-2.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.9pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hibernian EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Motherwell EU Bookmakers 19%
-12% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +9%
1.69/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.33
-14% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +26%
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
370 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 214 · 66%
28.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.2
28.3 Crosses 18.7
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hibernian
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Motherwell
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.42 xG 0.98
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
298 Passes 254
73% Pass Accuracy 70%
24 Box Touches 16
24 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 2
30.11.2024 Motherwell Motherwell 0-3 HT 0-2 Hibernian Hibernian İKP
05.10.2024 Hibernian Hibernian 1-2 HT 0-0 Motherwell Motherwell İKP
15.05.2024 Hibernian Hibernian 3-0 HT 2-0 Motherwell Motherwell İKP
13.04.2024 Motherwell Motherwell 1-1 HT 0-0 Hibernian Hibernian İKP
02.01.2024 Hibernian Hibernian 2-2 HT 1-1 Motherwell Motherwell İKP
13.08.2023 Motherwell Motherwell 2-1 HT 0-0 Hibernian Hibernian İKP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hibernian
3-1
AWAY Motherwell
2.22 xG 0.22
55% Ball Possession 45%
8 Total Shots 4
3 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 6
419 Passes 321
84% Pass Accuracy 79%
17 Box Touches 7
15 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Hibernian vs Motherwell
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hibernian got the better of Motherwell 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Hibernian as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Hibernian had 55% of the ball to Motherwell's 45%, shots finished 8-4, expected goals 2.22 to 0.22.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Hibernian and 1.17 for Motherwell.

What was the final score of Hibernian vs Motherwell?

Hibernian 3-1 Motherwell in the Scotland - Premiership on 11/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hibernian vs Motherwell?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hibernian win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Hibernian 48%, draw 24%, Motherwell 28%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hibernian), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Hibernian) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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