Gimnastic Tarragona 2-2 Hercules — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 30 Nov 2025

📅30/11/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.19
Draw
29%
2.94
Away
26%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.45
Over 2.5
44%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.16
No
49%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.04
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
5.77
6+ Goals
9%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
42%
+3.3pp
29%
Draw
30%
-1.2pp
26%
Away Win
28%
-2.1pp
56%
Under 2.5
65%
-8.8pp
44%
Over 2.5
35%
+8.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
42%
+8.7pp
49%
BTTS No
58%
-8.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gimnastic Tarragona EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Hercules EU Bookmakers 32%
+7% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -9%
1.35/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.44
+6% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -20%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
270 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 228 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gimnastic Tarragona
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Hercules
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
61% Ball Possession 39%
9 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 4
22.12.2019 Gimnastic Tarragona Gimnastic Tarragona 0-2 HT 0-1 Hercules Hercules İS3
24.03.2012 Hercules Hercules 1-3 HT 0-2 Gimnastic Tarragona Gimnastic Tarragona İS2
22.10.2011 Gimnastic Tarragona Gimnastic Tarragona 0-1 HT 0-0 Hercules Hercules İS2
28.03.2010 Hercules Hercules 0-1 HT 0-0 Gimnastic Tarragona Gimnastic Tarragona İS2
24.10.2009 Gimnastic Tarragona Gimnastic Tarragona 1-1 HT 1-0 Hercules Hercules İS2
03.05.2009 Hercules Hercules 2-2 HT 1-1 Gimnastic Tarragona Gimnastic Tarragona İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gimnastic Tarragona
2-2
AWAY Hercules
42% Ball Possession 58%
7 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 1
6 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Gimnastic Tarragona vs Hercules
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gimnastic Tarragona and Hercules shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Gimnastic Tarragona at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Gimnastic Tarragona had 42% of the ball to Hercules's 58%, shots finished 7-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Gimnastic Tarragona and 1.17 for Hercules.

What was the final score of Gimnastic Tarragona vs Hercules?

Gimnastic Tarragona 2-2 Hercules in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 30/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gimnastic Tarragona vs Hercules?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gimnastic Tarragona win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Gimnastic Tarragona 45%, draw 29%, Hercules 26%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Gimnastic Tarragona), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gimnastic Tarragona) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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