Real Murcia 2-1 Alcorcon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 30 Nov 2025

📅30/11/2025 · 🕒20:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.9
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
28%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.48
Over 2.5
40%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.19
No
53%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.13
2-3 Goals
38%
1.76
4-5 Goals
19%
5.41
6+ Goals
8%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
49%
-6.2pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.1pp
28%
Away Win
22%
+6.2pp
60%
Under 2.5
64%
-4.2pp
40%
Over 2.5
36%
+4.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
42%
+5.1pp
53%
BTTS No
58%
-5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Murcia EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Alcorcon EU Bookmakers 25%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +0%
1.28/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.44
-12% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -4%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
338 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Murcia
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Alcorcon
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
5 Yellow Cards 2
20.04.2025 Alcorcon Alcorcon 2-1 HT 0-0 Real Murcia Real Murcia İS3
06.10.2024 Real Murcia Real Murcia 3-1 HT 0-0 Alcorcon Alcorcon İS3
27.04.2014 Real Murcia Real Murcia 1-1 HT 1-0 Alcorcon Alcorcon İS2
24.11.2013 Alcorcon Alcorcon 0-0 HT 0-0 Real Murcia Real Murcia İS2
31.03.2013 Real Murcia Real Murcia 1-1 HT 1-1 Alcorcon Alcorcon İS2
28.10.2012 Alcorcon Alcorcon 1-0 HT 1-0 Real Murcia Real Murcia İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Murcia
2-1
AWAY Alcorcon
60% Ball Possession 40%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Real Murcia vs Alcorcon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Murcia nicked a narrow win over Alcorcon 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Real Murcia as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Real Murcia had 60% of the ball to Alcorcon's 40%, shots finished 10-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alcorcon led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Real Murcia and 1.00 for Alcorcon.

What was the final score of Real Murcia vs Alcorcon?

Real Murcia 2-1 Alcorcon in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 30/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Murcia vs Alcorcon?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Murcia win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Real Murcia 43%, draw 29%, Alcorcon 28%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Murcia) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Real Murcia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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