Alcorcon vs Real Murcia Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Alcorcon v Real Murcia — Team-Based Signals
Alcorcon vs Real Murcia Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-0
Alcorcon
İS2
0-0
HT 0-0
Real Murcia
İS2
1-1
HT 1-1
Alcorcon
İS2
1-0
HT 1-0
Real Murcia
İS2
3-0
HT 2-0
Real Murcia
İS2
Alcorcon 2-1 Real Murcia — Actual Match Statistics
Alcorcon edged past Real Murcia 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 27% / 39% — and on the day Alcorcon made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Alcorcon had 62% of the ball to Real Murcia's 38%, shots finished 19-3.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alcorcon had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Alcorcon and 0.83 for Real Murcia.
What was the final score of Alcorcon vs Real Murcia?
Alcorcon 2-1 Real Murcia in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 20/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Alcorcon vs Real Murcia?
Before kick-off our model rated an Real Murcia win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Alcorcon 34%, draw 27%, Real Murcia 39%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.