Alcorcon vs Real Murcia Prediction — Model Probabilities
Alcorcon v Real Murcia — Team-Based Signals
Alcorcon vs Real Murcia Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Alcorcon 2-1 Real Murcia — Actual Match Statistics
Alcorcon found just enough to beat Real Murcia 2-1. It stood 0-0 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart.
We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 32% / 33% — and on the day Alcorcon made the difference. The one blemish: under 2.5 goals (62%) never looked like landing.
On the day, Alcorcon had 62% of the ball to Real Murcia's 38%, shots finished 19-3.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alcorcon had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Alcorcon and 0.83 for Real Murcia.
Alcorcon vs Real Murcia Result & Final Score
Alcorcon 2 - 1 Real Murcia in the Spain - Primera Federación on 20/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Alcorcon vs Real Murcia Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Alcorcon win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Alcorcon 35%, draw 32%, Real Murcia 33%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alcorcon) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.