Real Aviles 1-2 Celta Vigo II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 30 Nov 2025

📅30/11/2025 · 🕒20:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.38
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
36%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.68
Over 2.5
46%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.85
No
50%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.64
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
22%
4.08
6+ Goals
9%
20.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
15%
2/1
10%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
38%
-4.1pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.8pp
36%
Away Win
33%
+2.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
56%
-1.3pp
46%
Over 2.5
44%
+1.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
50%
+0.2pp
50%
BTTS No
50%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Aviles EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Celta Vigo II EU Bookmakers 37%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / -4%
0.99/0.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/0.93
-22% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / +14%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
340 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Aviles
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Celta Vigo II
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
12 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
02.02.2014 Celta Vigo II Celta Vigo II 1-3 HT 0-1 Real Aviles Real Aviles İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Aviles
1-2
AWAY Celta Vigo II
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 14
8 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Real Aviles vs Celta Vigo II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Celta Vigo II edged past Real Aviles 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (34% / 30% / 36%) promised a tight game; Celta Vigo II found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Real Aviles had 51% of the ball to Celta Vigo II's 49%, shots finished 15-14.

What was the final score of Real Aviles vs Celta Vigo II?

Real Aviles 1-2 Celta Vigo II in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 30/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Aviles vs Celta Vigo II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Celta Vigo II win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Real Aviles 34%, draw 30%, Celta Vigo II 36%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Celta Vigo II) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Celta Vigo II) ✗ Under 2.5
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