Gimnastica Segoviana 1-1 Atletico Astorga — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 30 Nov 2025

📅30/11/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.53
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
14%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.59
Over 2.5
49%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.4
No
54%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
24%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
11%
2/2
4%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
61%
+0.9pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.6pp
14%
Away Win
14%
-0.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
59%
-7.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
41%
+7.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
38%
+8.7pp
54%
BTTS No
62%
-8.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gimnastica Segoviana EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Astorga EU Bookmakers 17%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.48/0.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/0.99
-13% / +146% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +50%
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
411 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 206 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.5
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gimnastica Segoviana
1-1
AWAY Atletico Astorga
69% Ball Possession 31%
13 Total Shots 4
8 Shots on Target 2
12 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Gimnastica Segoviana vs Atletico Astorga
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gimnastica Segoviana and Atletico Astorga couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Gimnastica Segoviana at 62% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Gimnastica Segoviana had 69% of the ball to Atletico Astorga's 31%, shots finished 13-4.

What was the final score of Gimnastica Segoviana vs Atletico Astorga?

Gimnastica Segoviana 1-1 Atletico Astorga in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 30/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gimnastica Segoviana vs Atletico Astorga?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gimnastica Segoviana win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Gimnastica Segoviana 62%, draw 24%, Atletico Astorga 14%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Gimnastica Segoviana), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gimnastica Segoviana) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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