Lausanne Sports 2-1 Thun — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 30 Nov 2025

Lausanne Sports
2-1 HT 2-0
Thun
📅30/11/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✓ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Switzerland - Super League – 2025/2026

Lausanne Sports vs Thun Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.12
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
43%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.61
Over 2.5
60%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%
1.39
No
36%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
5.97
2-3 Goals
40%
2.09
4-5 Goals
25%
2.53
6+ Goals
14%
5.46
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
2.97
1/2
7%
24.85
1/X
8%
12.4
X/1
10%
5.71
X/2
17%
7.0
X/X
8%
6.33
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
21.05
2/2
19%
4.06
2/X
7%
12.65
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.05 — our 8% vs market 2.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
43%
-8.4pp
22%
Draw
24%
-1.6pp
43%
Away Win
33%
+10.0pp
40%
Under 2.5
35%
+5.0pp
60%
Over 2.5
65%
-5.0pp
64%
BTTS Yes
68%
-3.9pp
36%
BTTS No
32%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Lausanne Sports v Thun — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lausanne Sports EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Thun EU Bookmakers 37%
-9% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +15%
1.24/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.60/1.28
-5% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / +15%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
308 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 362 · 80%
25.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.8
20.8 Crosses 14.3
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.0

Lausanne Sports vs Thun Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lausanne Sports
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Thun
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.56 xG 1.59
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
233 Passes 179
70% Pass Accuracy 67%
35 Box Touches 25
22 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
03.08.2025 Thun Thun 2-1 HT 1-0 Lausanne Sports Lausanne Sports İSV
19.05.2023 Thun Thun 3-3 HT 1-2 Lausanne Sports Lausanne Sports İSV2
19.03.2023 Lausanne Sports Lausanne Sports 1-3 HT 0-1 Thun Thun İSV2
21.10.2022 Lausanne Sports Lausanne Sports 2-1 HT 2-0 Thun Thun İSV2
02.09.2022 Thun Thun 2-0 HT 1-0 Lausanne Sports Lausanne Sports İSV2
22.06.2019 Thun Thun 1-5 HT 0-3 Lausanne Sports Lausanne Sports HAZ

Lausanne Sports 2-1 Thun — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lausanne Sports
2-1
AWAY Thun
2.27 xG 1.89
49% Ball Possession 51%
17 Total Shots 16
9 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 9
218 Passes 221
68% Pass Accuracy 67%
32 Box Touches 25
13 Crosses 18
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Lausanne Sports vs Thun
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lausanne Sports squeezed past Thun 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match lean was Thun at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (64%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Lausanne Sports had 49% of the ball to Thun's 51%, shots finished 17-16, expected goals 2.27 to 1.89.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Thun led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Lausanne Sports and 2.00 for Thun.

What was the final score of Lausanne Sports vs Thun?

Lausanne Sports 2-1 Thun in the Switzerland - Super League on 30/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lausanne Sports vs Thun?

Before kick-off our model rated an Thun win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Lausanne Sports 35%, draw 22%, Thun 43%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Thun) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Thun) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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