Basel 0-0 St. Gallen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 30 Nov 2025

📅30/11/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.53
Draw
20%
4.19
Away
20%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.61
Over 2.5
61%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.53
No
40%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
5.83
2-3 Goals
37%
2.07
4-5 Goals
30%
2.55
6+ Goals
14%
5.62
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1.9
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
5%
14.7
X/1
24%
4.46
X/2
6%
11.5
X/X
8%
7.22
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
18.8
2/2
8%
8.02
2/X
7%
16.25
Value flag · 2/1 at 18.8 — our 10% vs market 3.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
61%
-0.4pp
20%
Draw
20%
-0.6pp
20%
Away Win
19%
+1.1pp
39%
Under 2.5
35%
+4.5pp
61%
Over 2.5
65%
-4.5pp
60%
BTTS Yes
61%
-0.7pp
40%
BTTS No
39%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Basel EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY St. Gallen EU Bookmakers 22%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +17%
2.12/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/1.75
+2% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / +11%
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
378 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 259 · 74%
31.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.0
20.9 Crosses 13.1
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Basel
3W-2D-1L
AWAY St. Gallen
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.44 xG 1.21
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 8
342 Passes 291
81% Pass Accuracy 76%
19 Box Touches 26
16 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.07.2025 St. Gallen St. Gallen 2-1 HT 0-1 Basel Basel İSV
22.02.2025 St. Gallen St. Gallen 2-2 HT 0-1 Basel Basel İSV
08.12.2024 St. Gallen St. Gallen 1-1 HT 1-0 Basel Basel İSV
20.10.2024 Basel Basel 2-1 St. Gallen St. Gallen İSV
11.02.2024 Basel Basel 1-0 HT 0-0 St. Gallen St. Gallen İSV
26.11.2023 Basel Basel 2-0 HT 1-0 St. Gallen St. Gallen İSV
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Basel
0-0
AWAY St. Gallen
2.58 xG 0.95
64% Ball Possession 36%
20 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
362 Passes 142
75% Pass Accuracy 54%
41 Box Touches 17
16 Crosses 13
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Basel vs St. Gallen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Basel and St. Gallen fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Basel at 60% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Basel had 64% of the ball to St. Gallen's 36%, shots finished 20-13, expected goals 2.58 to 0.95.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Basel had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Basel and 1.00 for St. Gallen.

What was the final score of Basel vs St. Gallen?

Basel 0-0 St. Gallen in the Switzerland - Super League on 30/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Basel vs St. Gallen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Basel win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Basel 60%, draw 20%, St. Gallen 20%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Basel) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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