St. Gallen 1-1 Basel — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 8 Dec 2024

📅08/12/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.67
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
40%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.21
Over 2.5
55%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.5
No
44%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.53
2-3 Goals
38%
1.91
4-5 Goals
28%
2.95
6+ Goals
12%
8.61
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
4.03
1/2
9%
24.3
1/X
5%
12.45
X/1
14%
6.46
X/2
12%
5.48
X/X
13%
5.26
2/1
7%
28.0
2/2
19%
3.2
2/X
9%
12.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
34%
-0.5pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.8pp
40%
Away Win
41%
-1.1pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+3.4pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-3.4pp
56%
BTTS Yes
62%
-6.4pp
44%
BTTS No
38%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St. Gallen EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Basel EU Bookmakers 45%
+1% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -8%
1.58/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/1.29
+31% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +28%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
325 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 76%
24.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.1
17.9 Crosses 17.2
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St. Gallen
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Basel
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.94 xG 1.09
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
324 Passes 289
78% Pass Accuracy 78%
31 Box Touches 15
18 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 2
20.10.2024 Basel Basel 2-1 St. Gallen St. Gallen İSV
11.02.2024 Basel Basel 1-0 HT 0-0 St. Gallen St. Gallen İSV
26.11.2023 Basel Basel 2-0 HT 1-0 St. Gallen St. Gallen İSV
22.07.2023 St. Gallen St. Gallen 2-1 HT 1-1 Basel Basel İSV
14.05.2023 St. Gallen St. Gallen 6-1 HT 3-0 Basel Basel İSV
12.03.2023 Basel Basel 1-1 HT 0-0 St. Gallen St. Gallen İSV
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME St. Gallen
1-1
AWAY Basel
0.87 xG 0.73
41% Ball Possession 59%
13 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
278 Passes 438
78% Pass Accuracy 87%
32 Box Touches 18
15 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH St. Gallen vs Basel
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St. Gallen and Basel couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 27% / 40% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, both teams to score (56%) landed while over 2.5 goals (55%) missed.

On the day, St. Gallen had 41% of the ball to Basel's 59%, shots finished 13-12, expected goals 0.87 to 0.73.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Basel led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for St. Gallen and 1.33 for Basel.

What was the final score of St. Gallen vs Basel?

St. Gallen 1-1 Basel in the Switzerland - Super League on 08/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St. Gallen vs Basel?

Before kick-off our model rated an Basel win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split St. Gallen 33%, draw 27%, Basel 40%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Basel), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Basel) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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