Servette 1-1 Winterthur — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 8 Dec 2024

📅08/12/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.33
Draw
20%
4.81
Away
19%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.43
Over 2.5
58%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.82
No
49%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
5.13
2-3 Goals
39%
1.98
4-5 Goals
25%
2.78
6+ Goals
15%
7.21
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1.6
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
20.8
X/1 EV+ ✗
28%
3.6
X/2
5%
17.05
X/X
7%
7.84
2/1
7%
21.15
2/2
9%
12.65
2/X
7%
20.95
Value flag · X/1 at 3.6 — our 28% vs market 22.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
71%
-9.5pp
20%
Draw
18%
+2.1pp
19%
Away Win
12%
+7.4pp
42%
Under 2.5
38%
+4.3pp
58%
Over 2.5
62%
-4.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.0pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
-0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Servette EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Winterthur EU Bookmakers 15%
-11% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -10%
1.82/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/2.02
-10% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -10%
55% Ball Possession 45%
18 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
395 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 77%
31.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.7
22.7 Crosses 10.9
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Servette
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Winterthur
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.94 xG 1.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
18 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
370 Passes 335
80% Pass Accuracy 78%
32 Box Touches 19
29 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.09.2024 Winterthur Winterthur 0-1 HT 0-1 Servette Servette İSV
04.05.2024 Servette Servette 2-1 HT 2-0 Winterthur Winterthur İSV
28.04.2024 Winterthur Winterthur 0-1 HT 0-0 Servette Servette İSVK
30.03.2024 Winterthur Winterthur 1-0 HT 0-0 Servette Servette İSV
23.01.2024 Winterthur Winterthur 3-3 HT 0-2 Servette Servette İSV
27.09.2023 Servette Servette 2-2 HT 0-1 Winterthur Winterthur İSV
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Servette
1-1
AWAY Winterthur
1.01 xG 1.75
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 5
322 Passes 347
76% Pass Accuracy 75%
35 Box Touches 22
25 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Servette vs Winterthur
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Servette and Winterthur couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Servette at 61% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Servette had 48% of the ball to Winterthur's 52%, shots finished 13-14, expected goals 1.01 to 1.75.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Servette had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Servette and 1.17 for Winterthur.

What was the final score of Servette vs Winterthur?

Servette 1-1 Winterthur in the Switzerland - Super League on 08/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Servette vs Winterthur?

Before kick-off our model rated a Servette win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Servette 61%, draw 20%, Winterthur 19%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Servette), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Servette) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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