St. Gallen 2-2 Basel — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 22 Feb 2025

📅22/02/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.94
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
40%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.38
Over 2.5
57%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.46
No
42%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
5.06
2-3 Goals
37%
1.99
4-5 Goals
29%
2.78
6+ Goals
12%
7.23
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
4.54
1/2
7%
21.35
1/X
9%
12.65
X/1
8%
7.21
X/2
13%
5.27
X/X
9%
5.69
2/1
7%
28.0
2/2
20%
2.8
2/X
9%
12.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
30%
+2.8pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.7pp
40%
Away Win
45%
-5.6pp
43%
Under 2.5
38%
+4.6pp
57%
Over 2.5
62%
-4.6pp
58%
BTTS Yes
64%
-6.0pp
42%
BTTS No
36%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St. Gallen EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Basel EU Bookmakers 49%
+6% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.40/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/1.28
+12% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +30%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
316 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 73%
26.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.6
18.8 Crosses 18.3
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St. Gallen
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Basel
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.65 xG 0.86
52% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
325 Passes 303
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
32 Box Touches 15
19 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 2
08.12.2024 St. Gallen St. Gallen 1-1 HT 1-0 Basel Basel İSV
20.10.2024 Basel Basel 2-1 St. Gallen St. Gallen İSV
11.02.2024 Basel Basel 1-0 HT 0-0 St. Gallen St. Gallen İSV
26.11.2023 Basel Basel 2-0 HT 1-0 St. Gallen St. Gallen İSV
22.07.2023 St. Gallen St. Gallen 2-1 HT 1-1 Basel Basel İSV
14.05.2023 St. Gallen St. Gallen 6-1 HT 3-0 Basel Basel İSV
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME St. Gallen
2-2
AWAY Basel
1.12 xG 1.09
51% Ball Possession 49%
18 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 4
346 Passes 393
75% Pass Accuracy 86%
28 Box Touches 20
21 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH St. Gallen vs Basel
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St. Gallen and Basel couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (33% / 27% / 40%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, St. Gallen had 51% of the ball to Basel's 49%, shots finished 18-12, expected goals 1.12 to 1.09.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Basel led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for St. Gallen and 1.33 for Basel.

What was the final score of St. Gallen vs Basel?

St. Gallen 2-2 Basel in the Switzerland - Super League on 22/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St. Gallen vs Basel?

Before kick-off our model rated an Basel win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split St. Gallen 33%, draw 27%, Basel 40%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Basel) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Basel) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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