Melbourne Victory (K) 3-0 Perth Glory (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - W-League, 30 Nov 2025

Melbourne Victory (K)
3-0 HT 3-0
Perth Glory (K)
📅30/11/2025 · 🕒08:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Australia - W-League – 2025/2026

Melbourne Victory (K) vs Perth Glory (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.76
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
26%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.0
Over 2.5
60%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.7
No
41%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
4%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
53%
+0.0pp
22%
Draw
25%
-3.1pp
26%
Away Win
23%
+3.0pp
40%
Under 2.5
46%
-6.6pp
60%
Over 2.5
54%
+6.6pp
59%
BTTS Yes
55%
+4.0pp
41%
BTTS No
45%
-4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Melbourne Victory (K) v Perth Glory (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Melbourne Victory (K) EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Perth Glory (K) EU Bookmakers 26%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.08/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.17
-8% / +112% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -1%
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
389 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 76%
18.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.9
17.7 Crosses 17.4
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.6

Melbourne Victory (K) vs Perth Glory (K) Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Melbourne Victory (K)
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Perth Glory (K)
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.29 xG 1.25
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 3
308 Passes 285
73% Pass Accuracy 72%
23 Box Touches 23
21 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
18.01.2025 Melbourne Victory (K) Melbourne Victory (K) 1-0 HT 1-0 Perth Glory (K) Perth Glory (K) AVUSTW
08.12.2024 Perth Glory (K) Perth Glory (K) 0-1 HT 0-0 Melbourne Victory (K) Melbourne Victory (K) AVUSTW
12.01.2024 Melbourne Victory (K) Melbourne Victory (K) 1-1 HT 1-0 Perth Glory (K) Perth Glory (K) AVUSTW
28.12.2019 Perth Glory (K) Perth Glory (K) 1-2 HT 0-1 Melbourne Victory (K) Melbourne Victory (K) AVUSTW
10.02.2019 Melbourne Victory (K) Melbourne Victory (K) 2-4 HT 1-0 Perth Glory (K) Perth Glory (K) AVUSTW
01.02.2019 Perth Glory (K) Perth Glory (K) 1-2 HT 0-2 Melbourne Victory (K) Melbourne Victory (K) AVUSTW

Melbourne Victory (K) 3-0 Perth Glory (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Melbourne Victory (K)
3-0
AWAY Perth Glory (K)
1.81 xG 1.02
60% Ball Possession 40%
21 Total Shots 6
9 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 5
465 Passes 279
86% Pass Accuracy 78%
22 Box Touches 8
27 Crosses 20
POST-MATCH Melbourne Victory (K) vs Perth Glory (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Melbourne Victory (K) swept aside Perth Glory (K) 3-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Melbourne Victory (K) as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (60%) landed while both teams to score (59%) missed.

On the day, Melbourne Victory (K) had 60% of the ball to Perth Glory (K)'s 40%, shots finished 21-6, expected goals 1.81 to 1.02.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Melbourne Victory (K) had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Melbourne Victory (K) and 1.17 for Perth Glory (K).

What was the final score of Melbourne Victory (K) vs Perth Glory (K)?

Melbourne Victory (K) 3-0 Perth Glory (K) in the Australia - W-League on 30/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Melbourne Victory (K) vs Perth Glory (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Melbourne Victory (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Melbourne Victory (K) 53%, draw 22%, Perth Glory (K) 26%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Melbourne Victory (K)), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Melbourne Victory (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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