Ceara 1-1 Cruzeiro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 30 Nov 2025

Ceara
1-1 HT 0-0
Cruzeiro
📅30/11/2025 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Brazil - Serie A – 2025

Ceara vs Cruzeiro Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.47
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
36%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.56
Over 2.5
40%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.96
No
53%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.4
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.81
6+ Goals
8%
27.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.96
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
14%
14.1
X/1
12%
5.4
X/2
19%
5.65
X/X
9%
3.88
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
10%
4.24
2/X
5%
14.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
37%
-0.7pp
28%
Draw
30%
-1.2pp
35%
Away Win
34%
+1.9pp
60%
Under 2.5
60%
+0.2pp
40%
Over 2.5
40%
-0.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.2pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ceara v Cruzeiro — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ceara EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Cruzeiro EU Bookmakers 37%
-1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +9%
1.20/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.03
-19% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +67%
44% Ball Possession 56%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
284 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 374 · 81%
19.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.7
19.6 Crosses 17.7
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.6

Ceara vs Cruzeiro Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ceara
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Cruzeiro
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.30 xG 1.41
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
299 Passes 463
80% Pass Accuracy 85%
13 Box Touches 22
16 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
27.07.2025 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 1-2 HT 1-1 Ceara Ceara BR1
26.09.2019 Ceara Ceara 0-0 HT 0-0 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro BR1
02.05.2019 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 1-0 HT 0-0 Ceara Ceara BR1
25.10.2018 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 0-2 HT 0-0 Ceara Ceara BR1
04.06.2018 Ceara Ceara 0-1 HT 0-1 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro BR1
27.11.2011 Ceara Ceara 2-2 HT 1-1 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro BR1

Ceara 1-1 Cruzeiro — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ceara
1-1
AWAY Cruzeiro
0.75 xG 0.88
37% Ball Possession 63%
11 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 8
193 Passes 382
77% Pass Accuracy 87%
18 Box Touches 19
15 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Ceara vs Cruzeiro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ceara and Cruzeiro shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (36% / 28% / 35%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Ceara had 37% of the ball to Cruzeiro's 63%, shots finished 11-13, expected goals 0.75 to 0.88.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Ceara and 0.83 for Cruzeiro.

What was the final score of Ceara vs Cruzeiro?

Ceara 1-1 Cruzeiro in the Brazil - Serie A on 30/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ceara vs Cruzeiro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ceara win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Ceara 36%, draw 28%, Cruzeiro 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Ceara), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ceara) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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