Corinthians vs Botafogo Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Corinthians v Botafogo — Team-Based Signals
Corinthians vs Botafogo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Botafogo
BR1
3-0
HT 1-0
Corinthians
BR1
1-0
HT 1-0
Botafogo
BR1
Corinthians 2-2 Botafogo — Actual Match Statistics
Corinthians and Botafogo shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match lean was Corinthians at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Corinthians had 61% of the ball to Botafogo's 39%, shots finished 14-8, expected goals 2.02 to 0.64.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Botafogo led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Corinthians and 1.17 for Botafogo.
What was the final score of Corinthians vs Botafogo?
Corinthians 2-2 Botafogo in the Brazil - Serie A on 30/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Corinthians vs Botafogo?
Before kick-off our model rated a Corinthians win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Corinthians 47%, draw 26%, Botafogo 26%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.