Madura United 1-4 Persib Bandung — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Indonesia League 1, 30 Nov 2025

📅30/11/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
3.69
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
54%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.82
Over 2.5
46%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.81
No
51%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
24%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
24%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
24%
-1.1pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.8pp
54%
Away Win
50%
+3.8pp
54%
Under 2.5
51%
+2.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
49%
-2.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.9pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Madura United EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Persib Bandung EU Bookmakers 55%
-5% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +6%
1.36/1.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/0.95
+13% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +12%
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
256 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 368 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Madura United
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Persib Bandung
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
51% Ball Possession 49%
2 Total Shots 6
1 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 6
344 Passes 372
87% Pass Accuracy 85%
3 Yellow Cards 2
22.02.2025 Persib Bandung Persib Bandung 0-0 HT 0-0 Madura United Madura United ENDL1
28.09.2024 Madura United Madura United 2-2 HT 1-2 Persib Bandung Persib Bandung ENDL1
31.05.2024 Madura United Madura United 1-3 HT 0-0 Persib Bandung Persib Bandung ENDL1
26.05.2024 Persib Bandung Persib Bandung 3-0 HT 0-0 Madura United Madura United ENDL1
01.11.2023 Madura United Madura United 0-1 HT 0-0 Persib Bandung Persib Bandung ENDL1
20.01.2023 Madura United Madura United 0-1 HT 0-0 Persib Bandung Persib Bandung ENDL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Madura United
1-4
AWAY Persib Bandung
56% Ball Possession 44%
9 Total Shots 21
6 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Madura United vs Persib Bandung
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Persib Bandung swept aside Madura United 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Persib Bandung as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Madura United had 56% of the ball to Persib Bandung's 44%, shots finished 9-21.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Persib Bandung led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Madura United and 1.67 for Persib Bandung.

What was the final score of Madura United vs Persib Bandung?

Madura United 1-4 Persib Bandung in the Indonesia League 1 on 30/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Madura United vs Persib Bandung?

Before kick-off our model rated an Persib Bandung win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Madura United 22%, draw 23%, Persib Bandung 54%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Persib Bandung) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Persib Bandung) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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ENDL1 More Indonesia League 1
30 Nov 2025
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