Samgurali 4-0 Dinamo Batumi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Georgia - Erovnuli Liga, 30 Nov 2025

📅30/11/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.9
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
30%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.97
Over 2.5
46%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.68
No
48%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
48%
-4.7pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.6pp
31%
Away Win
25%
+5.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
47%
+7.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
53%
-7.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.0pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Samgurali EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Dinamo Batumi EU Bookmakers 29%
-9% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +7%
1.40/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.39
-4% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -5%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
358 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Samgurali
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Dinamo Batumi
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
40% Ball Possession 60%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.09.2025 Dinamo Batumi Dinamo Batumi 1-2 HT 0-1 Samgurali Samgurali GUR
25.05.2025 Samgurali Samgurali 3-0 HT 2-0 Dinamo Batumi Dinamo Batumi GUR
14.04.2025 Dinamo Batumi Dinamo Batumi 2-0 HT 1-0 Samgurali Samgurali GUR
27.10.2024 Samgurali Samgurali 3-3 HT 2-0 Dinamo Batumi Dinamo Batumi GUR
18.08.2024 Dinamo Batumi Dinamo Batumi 0-0 HT 0-0 Samgurali Samgurali GUR
01.05.2024 Samgurali Samgurali 0-1 HT 0-0 Dinamo Batumi Dinamo Batumi GUR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Samgurali
4-0
AWAY Dinamo Batumi
62% Ball Possession 38%
30 Total Shots 9
13 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 1
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Samgurali vs Dinamo Batumi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Samgurali cruised past Dinamo Batumi 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Samgurali as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Samgurali had 62% of the ball to Dinamo Batumi's 38%, shots finished 30-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Samgurali and 1.17 for Dinamo Batumi.

What was the final score of Samgurali vs Dinamo Batumi?

Samgurali 4-0 Dinamo Batumi in the Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on 30/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Samgurali vs Dinamo Batumi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Samgurali win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Samgurali 44%, draw 26%, Dinamo Batumi 31%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Samgurali) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Samgurali) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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