Central & Western 1-4 Hoi King — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division, 30 Nov 2025

📅30/11/2025 · 🕒08:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.9
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
28%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
Over 2.5
65%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
66%
1.35
No
34%
2.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
11%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
48%
-0.7pp
24%
Draw
22%
+1.9pp
28%
Away Win
30%
-1.1pp
66%
BTTS Yes
70%
-4.0pp
34%
BTTS No
30%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Central & Western EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Hoi King EU Bookmakers 33%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
0.79/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/2.05
-56% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -22%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
368 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Central & Western
3W-0D-2L
AWAY Hoi King
4.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
57% Ball Possession 43%
20 Total Shots 8
10 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
17.11.2024 Central & Western Central & Western 1-2 Hoi King Hoi King HK2
14.01.2024 Hoi King Hoi King 1-8 Central & Western Central & Western HK2
29.10.2023 Central & Western Central & Western 3-0 HT 2-0 Hoi King Hoi King HK2
29.01.2023 Hoi King Hoi King 3-2 HT 1-0 Central & Western Central & Western HK2
06.11.2022 Central & Western Central & Western 7-1 HT 3-1 Hoi King Hoi King HK2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Central & Western
1-4
AWAY Hoi King
40% Ball Possession 60%
17 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 9
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Central & Western vs Hoi King
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hoi King swept aside Central & Western 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Central & Western at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (65%), both teams to score (66%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Central & Western had 40% of the ball to Hoi King's 60%, shots finished 17-15.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Central & Western had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 4.20 goals for Central & Western and 1.40 for Hoi King.

What was the final score of Central & Western vs Hoi King?

Central & Western 1-4 Hoi King in the Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division on 30/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Central & Western vs Hoi King?

Before kick-off our model rated a Central & Western win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Central & Western 48%, draw 24%, Hoi King 28%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Central & Western) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Central & Western) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HK2 More Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division
30 Nov 2025
08:00 Tung Sing vs WSE Analysis →
08:30 Shatin SA vs 3 Sing Analysis →
10:00 Sham Shui Po vs South China Analysis →
10:30 Citizen AA vs Lucky Mile Analysis →
10:30 Kwun Tong vs Resources Capital FC Analysis →
10:30 Metro Gallery vs Yuen Long Analysis →