Ajka 1-0 Budapest Vasas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB II, 30 Nov 2025

📅30/11/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
15%
4.71
Draw
28%
3.72
Away
57%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.8
Over 2.5
49%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.96
No
48%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
6%
X/2
25%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
23%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
15%
Home Win
18%
-2.9pp
28%
Draw
24%
+4.6pp
57%
Away Win
58%
-1.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
47%
+5.3pp
48%
BTTS No
53%
-5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ajka EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Budapest Vasas EU Bookmakers 62%
+2% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -16%
1.27/1.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.66/0.75
+10% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +39%
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
224 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ajka
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Budapest Vasas
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
30% Ball Possession 70%
4 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
16.03.2025 Ajka Ajka 2-3 HT 2-1 Budapest Vasas Budapest Vasas MAC2
01.09.2024 Budapest Vasas Budapest Vasas 3-2 HT 0-1 Ajka Ajka MAC2
10.03.2024 Budapest Vasas Budapest Vasas 0-0 HT 0-0 Ajka Ajka MAC2
03.09.2023 Ajka Ajka 1-2 HT 1-2 Budapest Vasas Budapest Vasas MAC2
12.12.2021 Ajka Ajka 2-2 HT 2-0 Budapest Vasas Budapest Vasas MAC2
01.08.2021 Budapest Vasas Budapest Vasas 2-1 HT 2-1 Ajka Ajka MAC2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ajka
1-0
AWAY Budapest Vasas
37% Ball Possession 63%
4 Total Shots 19
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 12
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Ajka vs Budapest Vasas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ajka nicked a narrow win over Budapest Vasas 1-0.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Budapest Vasas at 57% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Ajka had 37% of the ball to Budapest Vasas's 63%, shots finished 4-19.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Budapest Vasas led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Ajka and 2.00 for Budapest Vasas.

What was the final score of Ajka vs Budapest Vasas?

Ajka 1-0 Budapest Vasas in the Hungary - NB II on 30/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ajka vs Budapest Vasas?

Before kick-off our model rated an Budapest Vasas win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Ajka 15%, draw 28%, Budapest Vasas 57%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Budapest Vasas), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Budapest Vasas) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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