Tayland 3-1 Filipinler — Result, Statistics & Match Review — AFF Championship, 30 Dec 2024

Tayland
3-1 HT 1-0
Filipinler
📅30/12/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 4-0 ✗
AFF Championship – 2024

Tayland vs Filipinler Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
67%
1.33
Draw
16%
4.62
Away
17%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.23
Over 2.5
53%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
1.9
No
61%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
26%
X/2
6%
X/X
4%
2/1
4%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
67%
Home Win
71%
-3.5pp
16%
Draw
18%
-2.9pp
17%
Away Win
11%
+6.4pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.4pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.5pp
39%
BTTS Yes
49%
-9.3pp
61%
BTTS No
51%
+9.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Tayland v Filipinler — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tayland EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Filipinler EU Bookmakers 14%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +39% / +39%
2.29/0.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.77
+1% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / +104%
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
432 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 73%
32.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.3
21.0 Crosses 10.7
1.8 Yellow Cards 5.0

Tayland vs Filipinler Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tayland
3W-1D-1L
AWAY Filipinler
2.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.19 xG 0.52
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
400 Passes 289
83% Pass Accuracy 77%
29 Box Touches 11
20 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
27.12.2024 Filipinler Filipinler 2-1 HT 1-1 Tayland Tayland AFF
11.10.2024 Tayland Tayland 3-1 HT 0-0 Filipinler Filipinler KRALK
26.12.2022 Tayland Tayland 4-0 HT 2-0 Filipinler Filipinler AFF
14.12.2021 Filipinler Filipinler 1-2 HT 0-1 Tayland Tayland AFF
21.11.2018 Filipinler Filipinler 1-1 HT 0-0 Tayland Tayland AFF

Tayland 3-1 Filipinler — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tayland
3-1
AWAY Filipinler
1.39 xG 1.36
53% Ball Possession 47%
22 Total Shots 18
8 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
495 Passes 423
82% Pass Accuracy 80%
39 Box Touches 19
20 Crosses 16
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Tayland vs Filipinler
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tayland saw off Filipinler 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Tayland as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Tayland had 53% of the ball to Filipinler's 47%, shots finished 22-18, expected goals 1.39 to 1.36.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Tayland had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.20 goals for Tayland and 1.00 for Filipinler.

What was the final score of Tayland vs Filipinler?

Tayland 3-1 Filipinler in the AFF Championship on 30/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tayland vs Filipinler?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tayland win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Tayland 67%, draw 16%, Filipinler 17%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tayland), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Tayland) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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