Al Ahly 0-3 Al Mokawloon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - League Cup, 30 Dec 2025

📅30/12/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
4.04
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
45%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.51
Over 2.5
37%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.27
No
57%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
13%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
27%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
22%
+4.3pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.0pp
45%
Away Win
51%
-5.5pp
63%
Under 2.5
62%
+0.9pp
37%
Over 2.5
38%
-0.9pp
43%
BTTS Yes
40%
+3.3pp
57%
BTTS No
60%
-3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Ahly EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Mokawloon EU Bookmakers 55%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
287 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Ahly
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Al Mokawloon
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.34 xG 0.81
64% Ball Possession 36%
13 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 5
430 Passes 205
81% Pass Accuracy 66%
20 Box Touches 11
20 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 2
04.08.2024 Al Ahly Al Ahly 4-0 HT 2-0 Al Mokawloon Al Mokawloon MSR
04.11.2023 Al Mokawloon Al Mokawloon 1-2 HT 0-1 Al Ahly Al Ahly MSR
16.07.2023 Al Mokawloon Al Mokawloon 1-4 HT 1-1 Al Ahly Al Ahly MSR
07.03.2023 Al Ahly Al Ahly 2-1 HT 2-1 Al Mokawloon Al Mokawloon MSR
27.11.2022 Al Ahly Al Ahly 1-1 HT 0-0 Al Mokawloon Al Mokawloon MSRK
30.07.2022 Al Mokawloon Al Mokawloon 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Ahly Al Ahly MSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Ahly
0-3
AWAY Al Mokawloon
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Al Ahly vs Al Mokawloon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Mokawloon swept aside Al Ahly 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Al Mokawloon as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (57%) landed while under 2.5 goals (63%) missed.

On the day, Al Ahly had 45% of the ball to Al Mokawloon's 55%, shots finished 12-18.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Ahly had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Al Ahly and 0.67 for Al Mokawloon.

What was the final score of Al Ahly vs Al Mokawloon?

Al Ahly 0-3 Al Mokawloon in the Egypt - League Cup on 30/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Ahly vs Al Mokawloon?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Mokawloon win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Al Ahly 26%, draw 29%, Al Mokawloon 45%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Mokawloon), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Mokawloon) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
MSRLK More Egypt - League Cup
30 Dec 2025
18:00 El Geish vs Ghazl El Mehalla Analysis →
21:00 Smouha vs Kahraba Ismailia Analysis →