El Geish 1-0 Ghazl El Mehalla — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - League Cup, 30 Dec 2025

📅30/12/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.27
Draw
42%
2.61
Away
26%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
73%
1.25
Over 2.5
27%
3.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.75
No
58%
1.39
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
44%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
10%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
4%
1/X
11%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
28%
2/1
4%
2/2
11%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
41%
-8.3pp
42%
Draw
35%
+7.3pp
25%
Away Win
24%
+0.9pp
73%
Under 2.5
76%
-3.5pp
27%
Over 2.5
24%
+3.5pp
42%
BTTS Yes
32%
+9.9pp
58%
BTTS No
68%
-9.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME El Geish EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Ghazl El Mehalla EU Bookmakers 28%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
338 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME El Geish
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Ghazl El Mehalla
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.11 xG 0.88
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
231 Passes 296
69% Pass Accuracy 73%
15 Box Touches 16
14 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 2
25.05.2025 El Geish El Geish 1-1 HT 1-0 Ghazl El Mehalla Ghazl El Mehalla MSR
07.11.2024 Ghazl El Mehalla Ghazl El Mehalla 2-3 HT 0-1 El Geish El Geish MSR
26.04.2023 El Geish El Geish 1-0 HT 1-0 Ghazl El Mehalla Ghazl El Mehalla MSR
14.12.2022 Ghazl El Mehalla Ghazl El Mehalla 3-2 HT 1-2 El Geish El Geish MSR
28.05.2022 Ghazl El Mehalla Ghazl El Mehalla 0-1 HT 0-1 El Geish El Geish MSR
19.11.2021 El Geish El Geish 0-0 HT 0-0 Ghazl El Mehalla Ghazl El Mehalla MSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME El Geish
1-0
AWAY Ghazl El Mehalla
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 1
1 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH El Geish vs Ghazl El Mehalla
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

El Geish nicked a narrow win over Ghazl El Mehalla 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was the draw at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (73%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, El Geish had 54% of the ball to Ghazl El Mehalla's 46%, shots finished 10-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, El Geish had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for El Geish and 1.00 for Ghazl El Mehalla.

What was the final score of El Geish vs Ghazl El Mehalla?

El Geish 1-0 Ghazl El Mehalla in the Egypt - League Cup on 30/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for El Geish vs Ghazl El Mehalla?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split El Geish 32%, draw 42%, Ghazl El Mehalla 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Draw) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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