Al Ettifaq 2-2 Al Nassr — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 30 Dec 2025

Al Ettifaq
2-2 HT 1-0
Al Nassr
📅30/12/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League – 2025/2026

Al Ettifaq vs Al Nassr Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
16%
5.91
Draw
18%
4.95
Away
66%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.96
Over 2.5
62%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.6
No
44%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
6.79
2-3 Goals
39%
2.17
4-5 Goals
26%
2.38
6+ Goals
15%
4.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
11%
1/X
4%
X/1
6%
X/2
26%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
30%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
16%
Home Win
13%
+3.0pp
18%
Draw
17%
+1.3pp
66%
Away Win
70%
-4.3pp
38%
Under 2.5
30%
+8.2pp
62%
Over 2.5
70%
-8.2pp
56%
BTTS Yes
58%
-2.2pp
44%
BTTS No
42%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Al Ettifaq v Al Nassr — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Ettifaq EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Nassr EU Bookmakers 75%
-4% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +0%
0.83/2.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.38/0.89
-53% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +40% / +11%
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
296 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 452 · 86%
14.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 32.7
14.3 Crosses 22.0
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.0

Al Ettifaq vs Al Nassr Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Ettifaq
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Al Nassr
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.11 xG 1.92
38% Ball Possession 62%
8 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 5
293 Passes 514
81% Pass Accuracy 90%
15 Box Touches 34
11 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
21.02.2025 Al Nassr Al Nassr 2-3 HT 0-0 Al Ettifaq Al Ettifaq SUUD
20.09.2024 Al Ettifaq Al Ettifaq 0-3 HT 0-1 Al Nassr Al Nassr SUUD
22.12.2023 Al Nassr Al Nassr 3-1 HT 1-0 Al Ettifaq Al Ettifaq SUUD
31.10.2023 Al Nassr Al Nassr 1-0 HT 0-0 Al Ettifaq Al Ettifaq SAKK
14.08.2023 Al Ettifaq Al Ettifaq 2-1 HT 0-1 Al Nassr Al Nassr SUUD
27.05.2023 Al Ettifaq Al Ettifaq 1-1 HT 1-0 Al Nassr Al Nassr SUUD

Al Ettifaq 2-2 Al Nassr — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Ettifaq
2-2
AWAY Al Nassr
0.40 xG 2.10
33% Ball Possession 67%
6 Total Shots 26
4 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 16
226 Passes 486
79% Pass Accuracy 89%
8 Box Touches 63
6 Crosses 45
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Al Ettifaq vs Al Nassr
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ettifaq and Al Nassr shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

This one beat our numbers. Al Nassr carried 66% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Al Ettifaq had 33% of the ball to Al Nassr's 67%, shots finished 6-26, expected goals 0.40 to 2.10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Nassr led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Al Ettifaq and 1.83 for Al Nassr.

What was the final score of Al Ettifaq vs Al Nassr?

Al Ettifaq 2-2 Al Nassr in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 30/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Ettifaq vs Al Nassr?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Nassr win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Al Ettifaq 16%, draw 18%, Al Nassr 66%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Al Nassr) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Nassr) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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