Barcelona 1-0 Osasuna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 31 Jan 2024

Barcelona
1-0 HT 0-0
Osasuna
📅31/01/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Spain - Primera Liga – 2023/2024

Barcelona vs Osasuna Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.37
Draw
21%
4.62
Away
22%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.38
Over 2.5
58%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.81
No
46%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
5.01
2-3 Goals
41%
1.94
4-5 Goals
25%
2.74
6+ Goals
14%
7.13
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1.65
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
7%
18.45
X/1
16%
3.67
X/2
10%
14.95
X/X
9%
7.31
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
20.35
2/2
7%
10.85
2/X
5%
18.75
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.35 — our 9% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
69%
-11.9pp
21%
Draw
19%
+2.4pp
22%
Away Win
13%
+9.4pp
42%
Under 2.5
38%
+3.5pp
58%
Over 2.5
62%
-3.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
51%
+2.5pp
46%
BTTS No
49%
-2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Barcelona v Osasuna — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Barcelona EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Osasuna EU Bookmakers 16%
+0% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +4%
2.29/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.70/1.77
+21% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +4%
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
517 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 77%
38.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.3
19.3 Crosses 16.0
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.4

Barcelona vs Osasuna Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Barcelona
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Osasuna
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
2.02 xG 0.57
67% Ball Possession 33%
16 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
559 Passes 226
88% Pass Accuracy 74%
32 Box Touches 17
18 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
11.01.2024 Barcelona Barcelona 2-0 HT 0-0 Osasuna Osasuna İSSK
03.09.2023 Osasuna Osasuna 1-2 HT 0-1 Barcelona Barcelona İS1
02.05.2023 Barcelona Barcelona 1-0 HT 0-0 Osasuna Osasuna İS1
08.11.2022 Osasuna Osasuna 1-2 HT 1-0 Barcelona Barcelona İS1
13.03.2022 Barcelona Barcelona 4-0 HT 3-0 Osasuna Osasuna İS1
12.12.2021 Osasuna Osasuna 2-2 HT 1-1 Barcelona Barcelona İS1

Barcelona 1-0 Osasuna — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Barcelona
1-0
AWAY Osasuna
1.86 xG 1.02
68% Ball Possession 32%
16 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 6
559 Passes 215
89% Pass Accuracy 74%
28 Box Touches 20
19 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Barcelona vs Osasuna
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barcelona squeezed past Osasuna 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Barcelona as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Barcelona had 68% of the ball to Osasuna's 32%, shots finished 16-9, expected goals 1.86 to 1.02.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Barcelona had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Barcelona and 0.67 for Osasuna.

What was the final score of Barcelona vs Osasuna?

Barcelona 1-0 Osasuna in the Spain - Primera Liga on 31/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Barcelona vs Osasuna?

Before kick-off our model rated a Barcelona win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Barcelona 57%, draw 21%, Osasuna 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Barcelona) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Barcelona) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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İS1 More Spain - Primera Liga
31 Jan 2024
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