Brann (K) 2-1 St. Pölten-Spratzern (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Champions League - Women's, 31 Jan 2024

📅31/01/2024 · 🕒20:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
64%
1.27
Draw
19%
5.28
Away
17%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under
44%
2.38
Over
56%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.06
No
57%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1
23%
2-3
39%
4-5
25%
6+
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
41%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
5%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Brann (K) win — 64%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
75%
-10.6pp
19%
Draw
16%
+2.8pp
17%
Away Win
9%
+7.9pp
44%
Under 2.5
38%
+5.7pp
56%
Over 2.5
62%
-5.7pp
43%
BTTS Yes
44%
-1.4pp
57%
BTTS No
56%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brann (K) EU Bookmakers 79%
Head to Head
AWAY St. Pölten-Spratzern (K) EU Bookmakers 11%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.77/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.62/4.09
-10% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -70% / +10%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
432 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 204 · 68%
32.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.1
31.0 Crosses 7.1
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brann (K)
1W-0D-0L
AWAY St. Pölten-Spratzern (K)
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.81 xG 0.27
68% Ball Possession 32%
24 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 5
13 Corners 3
428 Passes 153
80% Pass Accuracy 61%
46 Box Touches 9
25 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 0
14.11.2023 St. Pölten-Spratzern (K) St. Pölten-Spratzern (K) 1-2 HT 0-0 Brann (K) Brann (K) ŞMP-K
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Brann (K)
2-1
AWAY St. Pölten-Spratzern (K)
1.30 xG 0.51
71% Ball Possession 29%
12 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 2
11 Corners 4
502 Passes 173
82% Pass Accuracy 69%
37 Box Touches 11
25 Crosses 7
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Brann (K) vs St. Pölten-Spratzern (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brann (K) nicked a narrow win over St. Pölten-Spratzern (K) 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Brann (K) as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (56%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.

On the day, Brann (K) had 71% of the ball to St. Pölten-Spratzern (K)'s 29%, shots finished 12-4, expected goals 1.30 to 0.51.

What was the final score of Brann (K) vs St. Pölten-Spratzern (K)?

Brann (K) 2-1 St. Pölten-Spratzern (K) in the Champions League - Women's on 31/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brann (K) vs St. Pölten-Spratzern (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Brann (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Brann (K) 64%, draw 19%, St. Pölten-Spratzern (K) 17%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Brann (K)), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Brann (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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