Sporting Charleroi 1-0 AS Eupen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 31 Jan 2024

📅31/01/2024 · 🕒20:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.82
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
27%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.0
Over 2.5
50%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.68
No
47%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.78
2-3 Goals
40%
1.82
4-5 Goals
24%
3.2
6+ Goals
12%
11.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.4
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
8%
13.6
X/1
17%
4.28
X/2
11%
8.17
X/X
11%
5.15
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
22.6
2/2
9%
5.92
2/X
7%
14.1
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.6 — our 10% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
51%
-3.5pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.2pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+2.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
46%
+4.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
54%
-4.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.5pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting Charleroi EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY AS Eupen EU Bookmakers 28%
+1% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +2%
1.83/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/1.68
-11% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -1%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
338 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 74%
27.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.5
21.7 Crosses 15.2
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sporting Charleroi
4W-0D-2L
AWAY AS Eupen
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
2.18 xG 1.21
52% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
386 Passes 359
82% Pass Accuracy 80%
27 Box Touches 19
20 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.10.2023 AS Eupen AS Eupen 2-0 HT 1-0 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi BEL
07.01.2023 AS Eupen AS Eupen 1-2 HT 1-0 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi BEL
23.07.2022 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi 3-1 HT 1-0 AS Eupen AS Eupen BEL
19.12.2021 AS Eupen AS Eupen 0-4 HT 0-3 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi BEL
30.10.2021 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi 3-0 HT 0-0 AS Eupen AS Eupen BEL
17.04.2021 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi 2-3 HT 1-3 AS Eupen AS Eupen BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting Charleroi
1-0
AWAY AS Eupen
1.24 xG 0.66
40% Ball Possession 60%
12 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 9
234 Passes 403
68% Pass Accuracy 77%
15 Box Touches 13
14 Crosses 29
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Sporting Charleroi vs AS Eupen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting Charleroi edged past AS Eupen 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Sporting Charleroi as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Sporting Charleroi had 40% of the ball to AS Eupen's 60%, shots finished 12-7, expected goals 1.24 to 0.66.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sporting Charleroi had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Sporting Charleroi and 1.17 for AS Eupen.

What was the final score of Sporting Charleroi vs AS Eupen?

Sporting Charleroi 1-0 AS Eupen in the Belgium - Pro League on 31/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting Charleroi vs AS Eupen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting Charleroi win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Sporting Charleroi 47%, draw 26%, AS Eupen 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sporting Charleroi) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sporting Charleroi) ✗ BTTS Yes
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