Union Saint-Gilloise vs RWDM 47 Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Union Saint-Gilloise v RWDM 47 — Team-Based Signals
Union Saint-Gilloise vs RWDM 47 Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
2-3
HT 2-2
Union Saint-Gilloise
BEL
2-1
HT 2-1
RWDM 47
BEL2
0-2
HT 0-1
Union Saint-Gilloise
BEL2
2-1
HT 0-0
RWDM 47
BEL2
3-1
HT 0-0
Union Saint-Gilloise
BEL2
Union Saint-Gilloise 3-2 RWDM 47 — Actual Match Statistics
Union Saint-Gilloise squeezed past RWDM 47 3-2. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Union Saint-Gilloise as the likeliest winner at 72%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Union Saint-Gilloise had 52% of the ball to RWDM 47's 48%, shots finished 11-8, expected goals 2.91 to 0.82 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Union Saint-Gilloise's control.
For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Union Saint-Gilloise had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Union Saint-Gilloise and 1.40 for RWDM 47.
What was the final score of Union Saint-Gilloise vs RWDM 47?
Union Saint-Gilloise 3-2 RWDM 47 in the Belgium - Pro League on 31/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Union Saint-Gilloise vs RWDM 47?
Before kick-off our model rated a Union Saint-Gilloise win the most likely single outcome at about 72%, with the full match-result split Union Saint-Gilloise 72%, draw 16%, RWDM 47 12%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Union Saint-Gilloise), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.