Farsley AFC 1-4 Alfreton Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 31 Jan 2025

📅31/01/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
5.91
Draw
29%
4.08
Away
53%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.78
Over 2.5
34%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.19
No
63%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
7%
X/2
18%
X/X
17%
2/1
4%
2/2
31%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
14%
+4.5pp
29%
Draw
21%
+7.6pp
53%
Away Win
66%
-12.1pp
66%
Under 2.5
52%
+13.1pp
34%
Over 2.5
48%
-13.1pp
37%
BTTS Yes
42%
-4.2pp
63%
BTTS No
58%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Farsley AFC EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Alfreton Town EU Bookmakers 70%
+1% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +31% / +31%
0.85/1.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 4.00/0.00
-15% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +138% /
40% Ball Possession 60%
7 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 6
262 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 460 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Farsley AFC
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Alfreton Town
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
47% Ball Possession 53%
6 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
31.08.2024 Alfreton Town Alfreton Town 2-1 HT 0-1 Farsley AFC Farsley AFC İCON
09.03.2024 Farsley AFC Farsley AFC 2-3 HT 1-2 Alfreton Town Alfreton Town İCON
28.10.2023 Alfreton Town Alfreton Town 2-0 HT 2-0 Farsley AFC Farsley AFC İCON
07.01.2023 Alfreton Town Alfreton Town 1-0 HT 0-0 Farsley AFC Farsley AFC İCON
13.08.2022 Farsley AFC Farsley AFC 0-0 HT 0-0 Alfreton Town Alfreton Town İCON
12.03.2022 Alfreton Town Alfreton Town 0-0 HT 0-0 Farsley AFC Farsley AFC İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Farsley AFC
1-4
AWAY Alfreton Town
47% Ball Possession 53%
5 Total Shots 21
1 Shots on Target 9
1 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Farsley AFC vs Alfreton Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alfreton Town ran out comfortable winners over Farsley AFC 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Alfreton Town as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (63%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Farsley AFC had 47% of the ball to Alfreton Town's 53%, shots finished 5-21.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alfreton Town led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Farsley AFC and 1.33 for Alfreton Town.

What was the final score of Farsley AFC vs Alfreton Town?

Farsley AFC 1-4 Alfreton Town in the England - Conference on 31/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Farsley AFC vs Alfreton Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Alfreton Town win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Farsley AFC 18%, draw 29%, Alfreton Town 53%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alfreton Town) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Alfreton Town) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →