31/01/2025
·
22:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-2
2nd Score
2-1
Leeds United U21 vs Birmingham City U21 Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
Over 2.5
55%
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
48%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
15%
X/X
15%
2/1
3%
2/2
15%
2/X
3%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
47%
24%
Draw
24%
38%
Away Win
30%
53%
BTTS Yes
72%
47%
BTTS No
28%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Leeds United U21 v Birmingham City U21 — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Leeds United U21
EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY
Birmingham City U21
EU Bookmakers 33%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+2% /
+2%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-100%
/
–
51%
Ball Possession
49%
14
Total Shots
12
4
Shots on Target
5
5
Corners
4
328 · 77%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
330 · 79%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
Leeds United U21 vs Birmingham City U21 Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Leeds United U21
0W-0D-1L
AWAY
Birmingham City U21
2.00
Avg Goals (FT)
3.00
The Meetings
POST-MATCH
Leeds United U21 vs Birmingham City U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Leeds United U21 cruised past Birmingham City U21 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.
We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 24% / 38% — and on the day Leeds United U21 made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.
What was the final score of Leeds United U21 vs Birmingham City U21?
Leeds United U21 3-0 Birmingham City U21 in the England - Premier League Cup on 31/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Leeds United U21 vs Birmingham City U21?
Before kick-off our model rated a Leeds United U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Leeds United U21 38%, draw 24%, Birmingham City U21 38%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.
◐ Match Result — model had it level (38/24/38)
✓ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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İNPLK
More England - Premier League Cup
31 Jan 2025